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Notes from the Mayoral Debate of 3-15-10

First off, the same neighborhood associations who sponsored last night’s extremely well-attended town hall meeting – the Hiltonia, Hillcrest, Glen Afton and Cadwalader Heights civic associations – will also sponsor an evening with the West Ward candidates next month, on April 19. See you there!

For that meeting, you have my full permission to bring air horns and use them liberally if I do not, in point of fact, give a straight answer to the straight questions I am asked. That’s to keep things honest. Had air horns been available last night, perhaps they would have helped; because, honestly, no one answered the main question.

To be generous, the format of the evening wasn’t conducive to considered, thoughtful responses. With ten of the eleven declared candidates in attendance, it felt like Speed Dating: one minute each to say “Hello,” two minutes to answer each of two questions, and one final minute each to say “Goodbye.”  Six minutes is simply not  time enough in which to develop a considered opinion on the strengths and weaknesses of those who would lead this town. Staging that kept everyone seated and behind tables while passing a single mike did not help any; candidates felt detached and remote from the audience. The Mill Hill debate, allowing candidates to stand and engage the audience, felt more intimate and connected. That’s my opinion.

For all that, the candidates had time to prep. They had been given three questions several weeks ago, and had opportunity to compose what I had hoped would have been concise, pithy and — most importantly — on point replies. They knew they would only be asked two of the three. So, were they prepared and on point?  For the most part, nope.

For instance, the first question was essentially “How as Mayor will you handle the structural deficit?”  We heard many replies about economic development, reclaiming neighborhoods to rebuild the tax base, “go[ing] upstream” to state and federal entities for support (good luck with that!), and even (I am not kidding) selling city surplus goods at auction.

Good responses in themselves, but they would have been good answers had the questions been “How do we rebuild the City, long term?” or “What are some un-serious Band Aid proposals you have that can generate headlines and publicity but precious little cash?”

But that was not the question. Not one person spoke to addressing The. Structural. Deficit. Let me frame it for you.

The Fiscal Year 2010 (ending June 30) Budget As Introduced last month totals $215.3 Million. From Property taxes and other revenues under its control, the City plans to raise almost $82 Million, which is only 38% of the total. Excluding special purpose grants, the State of New Jersey is to provide $87.6 Million in “State Aid without Offsetting Appropriations,” i.e. unrestricted money. The State provides more money than the City can raise for itself. And, if you read the headlines this week you known that is not a dependable resource these days. So, we have expenses of $87.6 Million that we spend, but can’t raise ourselves; for which we must beg each year from the State.

It is that $87.6 Million gap – year in and year out – between what this City spends and what this City can raise that is the Structural Deficit. How many 10-year-old Jeep Cherokees can you sell to make up for that?

To be fair, one candidate spoke (as he had in Mill Hill) to the relevant fact that Hamilton – our neighbor town with a larger population – runs its government on a much smaller budget, anywhere from $70-$80 Million less. Where could he have gotten that idea?

We have to re-examine, re-evaluate, and re-build Trenton’s government from the ground up to tackle the structural deficit. We have to look at services, people and programs that may have been initially funded from external grants that may have run out years ago but which continue as the result of municipal inertia, however benign.

Once people and services have been around and build a constituency, it’s hard to let them go or reassign them, that’s understandable. It’s just no longer affordable.This is what zero-based budgeting means: scrubbing the city’s org chart and budget, challenging missions and activities, re-constructing a local government from first principles.

Since three of the candidates at the forum last night have the city’s proposed budget in front of them at City Council, I had hoped at least one of them would have spoken about not what they will do as Mayor starting July 1, but what they can and will do RIGHT NOW in their capacities as elected officers of the current government deliberating a budget in a year 3/4 gone. Disappointingly, not a word.

The candidates were each stronger when asked to define and promote their own best qualifications for the job. But, for me, in the context of their collective poor response to the first policy question, that didn’t do much for me.

Now, it’s been real easy for me to poke holes in the mayoral candidates for their performance. Time to put my money where my mouth is.  I hope to do a better job up on the same stage April 19.

In the weeks before, now that my candidacy has been certified, I will continue to speak to issues and to make my case why I should be the one to represent you as your Council representative. I noticed there were no questions asked by audience members last night. Too bad. I always find that members of the public can be better informed about issues on their blocks and neighborhoods than moderators or even candidates.

Ask me questions! Either here, via comments; via email; or call at 609.310.1852. Before the forums next month, I hope to have a few events where you can come and ask questions.

BYO air horn!

3 comments to Notes from the Mayoral Debate 3-15-10

  • The Citizen’s budget committee will hopefully publish its analysis of the structural debate in time for the mid-April budget vote and the last several weeks of the election cycle. You’ll have the opportunity to provide your own analysis or join the bandwagon. If we can keep ourselves organized, we’ll be able to put it out for comment so your analysis can inform ours.

    We’re thinking about our revenue structure in the following way

    Total expenses = $215M. For now, we won’t assume that we can magically reduce expenses without serious reinvention (i.e. zero based budgeting). Therefore our revenue must equal $215M in the 2010 budget. Unsustainable revenues make up our structural deficit. As we work through the expense side of the equation over the next several years we may find ways to decrease this.

    Revenues must equal $215M. The revenue is made up of the following:

    Property tax. Our somewhat sustainable level is $45-555M but this year will balloon to $70M. We’ll assume that the extra $20M or so is part of the structural deficit.

    State PILOT: Some amount of $$$ is owed Trenton based on the state’s footprint. We’re working to figure out what this really should be but it’s less than $87M and more than $30M.

    Fees: This is a relatively small number coming from licenses etc. Most if not all of this is sustainable.

    Special purpose revenue: (grants, etc.) We’ll take a hard look at these and try to determine which are sustainable and which are charity. The charity portions will go in to the deficit column.

    Asset sales: Another tricky area as some asset sales are normal and some aren’t. Again, we’ll examine this carefully to figure out how much of this is deficit.

    State Aid: This is the charity we receive and is all part of the deficit. We’ll recommend a reduction in this amount and corresponding increase in property tax and fees to put Trenton on a footing to Pay its own Way.

    The increase in property taxes will have to come from a large increase in ratables. Therefore ,we’ll provide serious recommendations on that (as opposed to the lip service I’ve heard from candidates). For instance, job creation while nice to say; doesn’t contribute much to increased property taxes. Improved schools while also nice to say; won’t lead to mass migration to Trenton in the foreseeable future.

    Rather we’ll need to talk more about refocusing the budget on revitalization, rebalancing the property tax structure to make Trenton attractive for investment and fixing the budget process in order to save the next administration from itself. These won’t be “feel good” recommendations; they’ll be “save the city” recommendations.

  • admin

    Thanks, Dan.

    The grassroots effort you are heading up is very timely and worthwhile. I for one look forward to seeing your recommendations.

    No solution is going to come overnight. We do need to change the way we do things. It’s not just about the budget, although that’s the place to start. It’s about re-working the way we govern ourselves so we can build a Trenton that Makes, not Takes, again.

  • admin

    A few other notes: finding the sweet spot of sustainable state aid somewhere between $30Mil and $87Mil will be key.

    Unfortunately, even under sympathetic state administrations, there are few state politicians who don’t think they can score political points by beating up on “Trenton,” whether it’s the metaphorical city of all things wasteful and kleptocratic, or the actual brick-and-mortar city we happen to live in.

    And I also take note of the Governor’s suggestion to charge state employees for parking. Since the City owns many of those lots, does Mr. Christie realize that his proposal would actually benefit our coffers, not his?